
What happened?
McCormick came in a bit hotter than expected for fiscal 2026 third quarter: adjusted EPS hit 86 cents versus the 76-cent estimate, and sales climbed 17.4% to $2.02 billion. The company also left its full-year outlook untouched, which is basically corporate speak for: “we’re not changing the story just because today was good.”
So why are analysts still trimming targets?
Because Wall Street can be a picky eater. Stifel’s Matthew Smith kept a Hold rating but cut his price target from $55 to $48, and TD Cowen’s Robert Moskow did the same. That’s a pretty clear message: nice quarter, but not enough to make anyone sprint for the exits or throw a parade.
What investors should watch
McCormick’s boost was helped by its McCormick de Mexico acquisition, which closed Jan. 2 and is now mostly integrated. Meanwhile, the company is still dealing with the usual boring-but-important corporate villains: rising input costs and freight expenses. The good news is that productivity initiatives helped offset some of that pressure, which is how you get margin expansion without needing a miracle.
Big picture
The stock nudged up 0.7% to $44.45, but the real takeaway is simple: McCormick is still delivering, just not in a way that screams “re-rate me now.” Investors get steady execution, analysts get to keep their cautious hats on, and the spice rack keeps spinning.